21 Jul Get this from a library! Il cigno nero: come l’improbabile governa la nostra vita. [ Nassim Nicholas Taleb]. Get this from a library! Il cigno nero: come l’improbabile governa la nostra vita. [ Nassim Nicholas Taleb; Elisabetta Nifosi]. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable is a book by author and former options trader Nassim Nicholas Taleb. The book focuses on the.

Author: Sazilkree Mautaur
Country: Austria
Language: English (Spanish)
Genre: Sex
Published (Last): 6 May 2008
Pages: 389
PDF File Size: 4.13 Mb
ePub File Size: 13.94 Mb
ISBN: 714-5-47846-785-2
Downloads: 65768
Price: Free* [*Free Regsitration Required]
Uploader: Vigul

Il cigno nero : come l’improbabile governa la nostra vita (eBook, ) []

Your rating has been recorded. This example may be used to demonstrate either deductive or inductive reasoning; however, neither form of reasoning is infallible, since in inductive reasoning, the premises of an argument may support a conclusion, but do not ensure it, and similarly, in deductive reasoning, an argument is dependent on the truth of its premises.

Taleb argues that history, a We don’t know what we don’t know.

Come l’improbabile governa la nostra vita by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. He uses an exact metaphor, the Black Swan idea to argue against the “unknown, the abstract, and imprecise uncertain—white ravens, pink elephants, or evaporating denizens of a remote planet orbiting Tau Ceti.

Rani marked it as to-read Feb 06, Though female, the character is based, in part, autobiographically on the author according to Talebwho has many of the same traits.

Il cigno nero. Come l’improbabile governa la nostra vita : Nassim Nicholas Taleb :

All progress depends on the unreasonable man. Preview this item Preview this item. Neo page was last edited on 8 Octoberat Italian View all editions and formats. Makes you think hard and gives you a lot Black Swan is easily one of the most challenging books I have read.


If he is right, almost all our statistical tools are obselete [or] meaningless.

Or, as Yogi Berra might have said, predictions are hard to make especial This was the second time I listened to this audio version. Interestingly, I found the story of Yevgenia Krasnova and how she came to write her Black Swan bestseller A Story of Recursionfollowed by her Black Swan critically acclaimed but financial dud second novel The Loop one of the more interesting elements of the book in terms of pure narrative, making me wonder jero Taleb should not take his hand to writing fiction himself?

The New York Times. Anna Mezhova rated it liked it Oct 20, See Wikipedia for more details. The E-mail Neo es field is required.

Il cigno nero : come l’improbabile governa la nostra vita

Alessandro rated it liked it Dec 07, The limits of the argument behind “all swans are white” is exposed—it merely is based on the limits of experience e. Details Additional Physical Format: A central idea in Taleb’s book is not to attempt to predict Black Swan events, but to build robustness to negative events and an ability to exploit positive events. Ini termasuk sejarah sesuatu peristiwa di masa lampau kemelesetan kewangan misalnya dan mengunapakai logik yang salah.

Don’t have an account? galeb

Lucas Cachapuz marked it as to-read Oct 01, Looking for beautiful books? She was working on a poetry chap-book for several years after losing her publisher to suicide, but moved her work to a Blog, connected to a strong Twitter presence and with regular Instagram updates.

I cigni Cosa pensarono gli europei quando, giunti in Australia, videro dei cigni neri dopo aver creduto per secoli, supportati dall’evidenza, che tutti i cigni fossero bianchi?


The cjgno chapter introduces the concepts of Extremistan and Mediocristan. And try as critics might, Taleb’s methods seem to be right.

Taleb calls himself a philosopher and sells the book as more than a screed against the financial product industry, neto that is how it nerp off. Come l’improbabile governa la nostra vita Nassim Nicholas Taleb. By using this site, you agree to the Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.

This is apparent from a social pathology: The name field is required. Nassim Nicholas Taleb Find more information talev Those who have followed the assertive idiot rather than the introspective wise person have passed us some of their genes. Taleb explains why some of the toxic stuff is the way it is in a way that greatly increased my ability to understand and deal with it on its own terms going forward.

The Impact of the Highly Improbable: The fact that he has predicted the financial crisis is an over-reaction of th Against expectations the book didn’t change my mind too much.

Il cigno nero. Come l’improbabile governa la nostra vita

Cigni me on this computer. I have to admit that this book was a guilty pleasure, I really enjoyed it and some of the arguments presented on it are so interesting, but in general this is an uneven book, with a lot of generalizations that come out of nowhere and not so much intellectual background in elaborating its main thesis.

Alexandra added it Jan 26,